Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 185.457628 214.153132 246.765301 286.768413 334.780208 390.880554 461.875996
2025-09-21 144.761906 180.664805 225.503233 286.351668 367.915276 475.124010 629.498604
2025-09-28 122.261553 161.073151 212.885535 288.562270 398.764207 557.441203 810.944618
2025-10-05 111.661821 153.896994 213.537375 306.344712 451.744570 679.140130 1079.559757
2025-10-12 103.192672 147.740685 213.729662 322.222718 503.583292 809.335941 1399.102082
2025-10-19 92.411056 136.343426 203.948748 320.161203 525.091939 893.128172 1661.264873
2025-10-26 85.861526 130.361533 201.391227 328.898563 565.953681 1019.705792 2047.205528
2025-11-02 79.387973 123.575532 196.403216 332.266540 597.184747 1134.840126 2449.495542
2025-11-09 74.103386 118.042710 192.655451 336.990468 631.546457 1264.388283 2934.860070
2025-11-16 68.872153 111.969439 187.118964 337.306866 656.783765 1380.311284 3433.750864
2025-11-23 64.071052 106.108938 181.205589 335.860482 677.807225 1491.849745 3970.179844
2025-11-30 60.638829 102.311934 178.600322 340.599195 713.383038 1648.550178 4718.477357
2025-12-07 54.801570 93.957066 167.169346 326.851465 707.495572 1708.262072 5228.462710
2025-12-14 51.059319 89.179269 162.229834 326.638840 735.303357 1872.269969 6227.551947
2025-12-21 48.030804 85.422402 158.827697 329.255114 771.057890 2073.315447 7528.673263
2025-12-28 46.996378 85.402772 163.009384 350.100030 860.752185 2478.736592 10086.738284
2026-01-04 45.782611 84.876266 166.029225 368.742816 950.052956 2926.943697 13378.870646
2026-01-11 43.002849 80.863808 160.986082 366.320724 976.793738 3165.149062 15826.210425
2026-01-18 41.408629 79.156693 160.848064 376.589874 1046.072909 3603.521552 20157.099125
2026-01-25 39.509567 76.613943 158.497654 380.550664 1096.457569 3993.884996 24832.308555
2026-02-01 37.866830 74.468663 156.818993 386.108251 1154.369940 4453.490130 30985.291334
2026-02-08 36.046556 71.766597 153.508197 386.480577 1194.453993 4856.353154 37568.049864
2026-02-15 34.258243 68.981486 149.694701 384.778620 1226.854445 5244.497104 45038.653694